Social Security Disability Denial Rates or What are my chances to win SSDI or SSI?
This page will list the approval rates for SSDI and SSI disability at application and reconsideration
for each state. You can also determine the denial rate from these numbers. I listed below the average winning percentages
for each state and the individual local offices averages may be different. At the very bottom of the page, you will find
the percentage of cases that win and lose at all stages nationally for the year 2008. I have also just added the average
winning and losing percentages nationally for the year 2010 for all stages of the process.
I am including
this information in the website because I am frequently asked if everyone is denied when they first apply and what are my
chances of winning? When looking at the statistics on keep in mind that these are averages and every case is different
the approval and denial rates may not be indicative of your local SSA office. In my experience, I find that those
that win at the early stages are fully developed files that show an individual meets a listing or is disabled under the GRID
rules. In fact, 58% of SSD or SSI claims that won did so by meeting or equaling the
listing of impairments. This is why I feel it is important to have a
lawyer for ssdi or ssi as early in the process as possible. If you leave the development of your file up to SSA you will certainly decrease
your chances of winning at these early stages of the process. If you decide not to get a lawyer you must do everything
you can to get all your medical records in and make sure you understand
how SSA will determine if you are disabled.
FREE DISABILITY CASE EVALUATION
If you need help call me at 1-877-527-5529.
Percentage of Disability Cases Lost and Won in 2010
Update for fiscal year 2010 on disability winning percentages (approval rates) and losing percentages
(denial rates) for Social Security disability and SSI decisions completed in 2010. At application,
despite what you might of heard, not all cases are denied. In fact, 35% of the applications decided in 2010 won. The denial
rate at application nationally is quite high at 65%, but I believe one big reason for this is that many people do not get
representation until they have been denied. I also believe many lawyers are partly to blame for this since it is very common
for someone looking for a lawyer at application for their SSDI or SSI claim to be told to "apply and call back when you
are denied". Some lawyers do this because an attorney's fee is based on past due benefits and if the lawyer wins
a case at application they feel the fee does not cover the work involved in handling a case at this level. I strongly disagree
with this approach, because I feel it is very important that the case be handled properly from the beginning, not only to
assure you have the best chance to win at application, but also to ensure that an application that was not properly done does
not come back to haunt you at a later stage in the process. If you are in a state that has reconsideration, the winning
percentage at this stage is only 13% with a denial rate of 87% nationally. It is my belief that the extremely low winning
percentage at reconsideration is due to the fact that many times very little is done to improve the claim between application
and reconsideration. I also believe, that some SSA employees find it easier to rubber-stamp previous decision rather than
to change what was already decided. The highest winning percentage is at the hearinglevel which nationally has a
winning percentage of 62%, with 25% losing, and the remaining 13% dismissed for one reason or another. I believe and
Social Security studies have shown that one reason for this is that more claimants are represented at the hearing level then
the earlier stages of the Social Security Disability Process. It is also my opinion, that for the first time a claimant has
an opportunity to tell his or her story to someone in person, and it puts a face on all the paperwork. Keep in mind, these
winning and losing percentages are national averages and some ALJ's have a much higher percentage of cases approved, while
other ALJ's have a much lower percentage of cases approved than the national average. Many cases that are denied at the hearing
level appeal to the Appeals Council. Most cases at the Appeals Council are denied at a 74% rate. Almost a quarter
of the cases are remanded or approved. A remand is when the case is sent back to the administrative law judge (in most cases
the same administrative law judge) and the Remand percentage rate for 2010 was 22%. Only 2% of the cases at the Appeals Council
were completely reversed and won. The last 2% were dismissed for one reason or another. Of the 83,000 cases appealed to the
Appeals Council 12,000 cases were taken to Federal Court. At the Federal Court level also called US
District Court, there is a pretty even split. 40% of the cases taken to federal court were denied. 47% of the cases
taken to Federal Court were remanded and 4% were approved out right. 9% of cases were dismissed. Keep in mind these are the
national average for cases decided in 2010 and although it gives you a good picture these numbers may differ from
year to year and depending upon where your case being decided and by which particular decision maker or ALJ.
Percentage of Disability Claims That Win at Application and Reconsideration.
Below you will find the allowance rates (winning percentage) at the application and reconsideration level for each state.
The statistics are for the fiscal year 2008 and include SSD and SSI cases. You will find the name of the
state followed by the percentage of cases that won at application and the second number is the percentage of cases that won
at reconsideration. Many states no longer have the reconsideration stage and in these states your claim goes directly from
application to hearing if you lose at application and appeal. These individual state percentages of cases won and lost
at application and reconsideration tend to fluctuate quite a bit and as you will see, if you read the whole page, a better
indicator of your statistical chances at each stage of the Social Security Disability process may be to consider the national
averages instead of the individual states. I will soon post the individual state statistics on winning and losing at
these stages for the year 2010 when they become available to see if my assumption, that the national average statistics is
a better indicator of your chance to win at each stage then the local win and lose percentages is.
The numbers below are the percentage of Social Security Disability and SSI cases that won. The first number
is approval rates at application and the second number is approval rates at reconsideration.
1. National 36.0 and 13.8
2. Iowa 32.4 and 12.2
3. Kansas 36.0 and 16.2
4. Missouri
33.6 and 28.3
5. Nebraska 37.3 and 12.0
6. Colorado 34.9 and 21.5
7. Montana 41.6 and 14.6
8. North Dakota 38.2 and 12.7
9. South Dakota 35.8 and 11.6
10. Utah 44.3 and 15.6
11. Wyoming
48.0 and 10.4
12. Arizona 36.9 and 20.0
13. California 39.0 and 12.9
14. Hawaii 52.6 and 25.2
15. Nevada 42.7 and 22.6
16. Arkansas 42.9 and 28.0
17. Idaho 39.2 and 10.4
18. Oregon
37.4 and 13.2
19. Washington 39.7 and 10.7
20. Connecticut 33.1 and 14.7
21. Massachusetts 45.7
and 29.0
22. Maine 35.7 and 15.5
23. New Hampshire 51.9 and 36.4
24. Rhode Island 38.2 and 18.2
25. Vermont 48.1 and 15.9
26. New Jersey 45.0 and 20.8
27. New York 44.3 and 51.2
28. Puerto
Rico 43.7 and 28.1
29. Delaware 44.5 and 15.0
30. District of Columbia 44.6 and 22.1
31. Maryland
37.6 and 20.0
32. Pennsylvania 36.7 and 27.9
33. Virginia 39.6 and 14.3
34. West Virginia 26.4
and 10.2
35. Alabama 31.8 and 22.3
36. Florida 33.6 and 14.0
37. Georgia 24.9 and 10.3
38. Kentucky
28.8 and 7.7
39. Mississippi 24.5 and 6.9
40. North Carolina 30.9 and 13.2
41. South Carolina
31.1 and 15.3
42. Tennessee 25.1 and 8.7
43. Illinois 35.6 and 14.1
44. Indiana 36.2 and 6.8
45. Michigan 30.2 and 27.7
46. Minnesota 37.4 and 12.4
47. Ohio 27.1 and 10.5
48. Wisconsin
40.3 and 17.8
49. Arkansas 36.1 and 11.1
50. Louisiana 36.6 and 25.7
51. New Mexico 36.4 and
13.2
52. Oklahoma 39.7 and 14.6
53. Texas 42.5 and 20.1
Below is a look at the winning and losing percentages at application and reconsideration for the Fiscal Year 2006. I
am leaving these numbers so you can compare them to the 2008 percentages of cases that won to see how the percentages
change from year to year.
FISCAL
YEAR 2006
INITIAL DISABILITY CLAIM
Initial and Reconsideration Adjudicative Levels
Allowance and Denial Rates
by State
TOTAL- Title II, Title XVI, & Concurrent
Initial Level
Recon Level
Allow Rate % Denial Rate %
Allow Rate % Denial Rate %
NATION
35.2
64.8
13.2
86.8
AK
42.9
57.1
31.3
68.8
AL
28.2
71.8
26.8
73.2
AR
32.2
67.8
12.0
88.0
AZ
40.2
59.8
29.7
70.3
CA
43.4
56.6
16.2
83.8
CO
30.5
69.5
17.0
83.0
CT
36.7
63.3
15.7
84.3
DC
53.7
46.3
36.2
63.8
DE
47.9
52.1
17.1
82.9
FL
33.7
66.3
14.2
85.8
GA
25.0
75.0
11.0
89.0
HI
53.2
46.8
36.6
63.4
IA
31.1
68.9
11.7
88.3
ID
38.1
61.9
9.1
90.9
IL
32.9
67.1
9.9
90.1
IN
31.0
69.0
6.9
93.1
KS
28.2
71.8
10.8
89.2
KY
30.1
69.9
9.3
90.7
LA
36.1
63.9
27.3
72.7
MA
45.1
54.9
28.0
72.0
MD
33.8
66.2
14.4
85.6
ME
37.6
62.4
17.9
82.1
MI
29.0
71.0
26.5
73.5
MN
40.5
59.5
14.8
85.2
MO
29.8
70.2
24.2
75.8
MS
25.1
74.9
6.1
93.9
MT
36.5
63.5
14.8
85.2
NC
29.8
70.2
10.9
89.1
ND
38.6
61.4
10.7
89.3
NE
32.7
67.3
9.6
90.4
NH
58.7
41.3
37.8
62.2
NJ
46.6
53.4
20.2
79.8
NM
40.6
59.4
14.6
85.4
NV
48.4
51.6
28.9
71.1
NY
43.0
57.0
17.8
82.2
OH
26.6
73.4
10.9
89.1
OK
36.4
63.6
15.5
84.5
OR
29.6
70.4
9.0
91.0
PA
40.8
59.2
33.2
66.8
PR
36.0
64.0
18.7
81.3
RI
42.8
57.2
17.4
82.6
SC
23.3
76.7
8.6
91.4
SD
33.1
66.9
12.4
87.6
TN
22.8
77.2
6.4
93.6
TX
38.7
61.3
18.1
81.9
UT
35.3
64.7
11.6
88.4
VA
44.4
55.6
15.5
84.5
VT
49.5
50.5
17.1
82.9
WA
38.4
61.6
12.2
87.8
WI
33.5
66.5
13.5
86.5
WV
29.5
70.5
11.1
88.9
WY
40.9
59.1
11.7
88.3
Source:
FY 2006 DIODS EXTRACT
The statistics above can be a little depressing if you are applying for SSDI or SSI.
Remember winning percentages and denial rates do not tell the whole story and every case is different. Those who are committed
to winning their claim should become knowledgeable about the law or get a lawyer to help them and this should
increase their odds. The following page is a good place to start for more information on Social Security Disability.